India-US Trade Talks Gain Momentum as Goyal Meets Greer at G20 Ministerial in Milwaukee

New Delhi and Washington continue negotiations on an interim trade arrangement while G20 ministers debate industrial overcapacity, steel and global trade rules.

Milwaukee, October 1: India and the United States stepped up engagement on their proposed trade agreement as Union Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal met US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer on the sidelines of the G20 Trade Ministers’ Meeting in Milwaukee.

The meeting took place as both countries continue efforts to conclude an interim trade arrangement under the broader India-US Bilateral Trade Agreement. Goyal described his discussion with Greer as productive and said the two sides were working towards an early conclusion of a mutually beneficial interim agreement.

The talks are taking place against a changing global trade environment, with the United States seeking greater coordination among major economies on tariffs, industrial capacity and supply-chain practices.

India and the US had announced in February that they had finalised a framework for the first phase of their proposed bilateral trade agreement. Subsequent changes in the US tariff environment, however, have resulted in continued negotiations over the terms of the arrangement.

Goyal had said in September that the broader trade pact was effectively ready from India’s side but that implementation would depend on securing appropriate competitive conditions for Indian exporters in the US market.

The latest meeting with Greer provides another opportunity for the two sides to address unresolved issues as negotiations continue.

Trade was also among the subjects discussed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump during a telephone conversation on September 30. The two leaders reviewed bilateral cooperation covering trade, defence, energy, emerging technologies and other areas.

Goyal’s visit to the United States runs from September 29 to October 5 and includes meetings with government officials as well as American business representatives.

Before the G20 ministerial, Goyal participated in a roundtable with senior executives from American manufacturing and technology companies organised by the National Association of Manufacturers. He encouraged US companies to expand their operations in India, develop partnerships with small and medium enterprises and explore co-investment opportunities in advanced manufacturing.

The discussions reflect an effort to broaden the economic relationship beyond conventional merchandise trade. Manufacturing, technology, investment and supply-chain resilience have become increasingly important components of the bilateral economic relationship.

At the G20 meeting, however, the agenda extends beyond India-US negotiations. Greer has identified structural industrial overcapacity, forced labour in supply chains, food security and the future of the Most Favoured Nation principle among the priorities of the US presidency of the grouping.

Steel overcapacity has emerged as one of the most prominent subjects. Participating countries endorsed what Greer called the “Milwaukee Framework”, which seeks greater coordination on excess steel capacity, trade remedies, monitoring of supply chains and transhipment.

The initiative comes amid wider concerns among major economies about the impact of excess industrial production on international markets.

Greer said individual countries would determine their own tariff policies, while calling for coordinated action to address excess capacity.

The debate over steel is significant for India because the country is simultaneously expanding domestic manufacturing capacity and seeking greater access to overseas markets. Any changes to tariffs, trade remedies or supply-chain rules could affect exporters and producers across several industrial sectors.

Another major issue at the Milwaukee meeting is the Most Favoured Nation principle. The rule traditionally requires countries to extend the same basic trade treatment to their trading partners, subject to established exceptions.

The US has argued that aspects of the existing framework need to be reconsidered because governments require greater flexibility to respond to distortive industrial policies and changing economic circumstances.

India, on the other hand, has reiterated its support for a rules-based, open, inclusive, transparent, equitable and non-discriminatory multilateral trading system, with the World Trade Organization at its core.

New Delhi has also emphasised the importance of preserving adequate policy space for developing countries.

The differing approaches highlight one of the larger questions confronting the international trading system: how existing multilateral rules can accommodate concerns over industrial subsidies, supply-chain security and national economic strategies while maintaining predictable market access.

For Indian exporters, the outcome of such discussions could have implications well beyond the US market. Changes in tariff structures, rules of origin, supply-chain requirements and trade remedies can influence the competitiveness of companies operating across manufacturing and services.

The India-US negotiations are therefore taking place alongside a wider restructuring of global commerce.

American businesses are also watching the Indian market closely as companies diversify production and supply networks. India’s large domestic market, expanding manufacturing base and role in global technology supply chains have increased its importance for multinational corporations.

Goyal’s meetings with US business leaders were aimed at encouraging further investment and production partnerships in India.

The minister urged American companies to work with Indian small and medium enterprises and explore opportunities in advanced manufacturing. Such partnerships could potentially connect global companies with India’s domestic supplier ecosystem and support the development of more diversified production networks.

The bilateral talks are also taking place amid broader geopolitical and economic uncertainty. Energy prices, shipping disruptions, changing tariff policies and higher global borrowing costs have complicated the environment for international businesses.

These factors make the stability and predictability of trade arrangements increasingly important for companies making long-term investment decisions.

The G20 ministerial is consequently serving two purposes for India: advancing its immediate bilateral economic priorities with the United States and participating in discussions about the future structure of global trade.

The US has used its G20 presidency to place greater emphasis on trade imbalances, industrial capacity and supply-chain practices. India has maintained its focus on a multilateral system that provides predictable rules while allowing developing economies sufficient room to pursue domestic development objectives.

The negotiations between New Delhi and Washington will continue to be closely watched by exporters, manufacturers and investors in both countries. The proposed interim arrangement is expected to provide an important step in determining the direction of the wider bilateral trade agreement.

For India, the central economic consideration remains improved market access and competitive conditions for its exporters. For the US, the negotiations are taking place within a broader strategy focused on tariffs, supply chains and industrial policy.

The G20 discussions in Milwaukee are providing a wider platform for these issues, bringing together major economies at a time when traditional assumptions about international trade are undergoing significant changes.

Further ministerial sessions are scheduled in Milwaukee before the conclusion of the meeting. The discussions will cover trade policy, industrial overcapacity and supply-chain concerns, while India and the US are expected to continue their bilateral engagement separately.

The latest Goyal-Greer meeting does not by itself conclude the proposed trade agreement. It does, however, demonstrate that negotiations remain active as both sides work through outstanding issues surrounding the interim arrangement and the broader bilateral pact.

India-US Trade