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Sensex, Nifty Slide as Crude Oil Prices Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Indian equities face renewed selling pressure as higher oil prices, foreign outflows and global uncertainty weigh on investor sentiment

MUMBAI, Sept 28: Indian equity markets came under heavy selling pressure on Monday as rising crude oil prices and continued geopolitical uncertainty weighed on investor sentiment, with the Sensex and Nifty opening sharply lower.

The BSE Sensex fell more than 500 points in early trade, while the Nifty 50 slipped below the 23,000 mark. The decline came after both benchmark indices had already recorded losses over the previous seven sessions.

Investors remained cautious amid uncertainty surrounding developments in West Asia and the outlook for the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude prices climbed to around $106 a barrel, raising concerns over the potential impact of higher energy costs on oil-importing economies such as India.

India imports a substantial portion of its crude oil requirements, making international oil prices an important factor for the country’s trade balance, inflation outlook and currency movements. A sustained increase in crude prices can raise the import bill and increase operating costs for businesses across several sectors.

The latest market decline also reflected continued selling by foreign investors. Provisional data showed foreign investors remained net sellers of Indian equities, adding to pressure on domestic benchmarks. Foreign selling in September had reached about $1.8 billion, while cumulative selling during the year was significantly higher.

The weakness was visible across the broader market as well, although individual stocks moved on company-specific developments. Banking, infrastructure, healthcare, consumer and industrial companies were among those attracting attention as investors assessed corporate announcements and changing global conditions.

Market participants were also monitoring developments in global bond yields and the US dollar following the Federal Reserve’s September policy decision. Higher US yields can affect capital flows towards emerging markets by influencing the relative attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets.

The rupee remained another closely watched factor. Higher crude prices increase demand for dollars from oil importers, while foreign portfolio outflows can add further pressure on the domestic currency. Analysts noted that Reserve Bank of India intervention had helped contain excessive volatility in the rupee.

The market’s attention is also expected to shift towards upcoming domestic economic indicators. August industrial production figures and the September manufacturing PMI are among the data points scheduled to be released during the week. Investors will use these numbers to assess the strength of economic activity and manufacturing demand.

Auto sales figures will also be watched as companies begin releasing monthly data. The numbers could provide an indication of consumer demand across passenger vehicles, two-wheelers and commercial vehicles.

Global economic indicators are expected to influence sentiment as well. US consumer confidence, job openings data and eurozone inflation figures are among the developments that could affect expectations about the international interest-rate cycle.

The Indian market had ended the previous week on a weak note, with the Sensex declining 399.22 points and the Nifty falling 205.9 points. The latest decline extended the period of pressure on domestic equities.

The rise in crude prices has emerged as a particularly important concern for India because energy costs influence transportation, manufacturing, aviation, chemicals and several other industries. Companies with high fuel or imported-input exposure could face increased costs if the oil price remains elevated for an extended period.

At the same time, developments in the foreign exchange market could influence corporate earnings, particularly for businesses with significant dollar-denominated costs or revenues.

Despite the broader decline, company-specific announcements continued to drive activity in individual stocks. Several companies reported new projects, acquisitions, fundraising plans and regulatory developments ahead of Monday’s trading session.

Power Grid Corporation of India, for instance, received a letter of intent for an inter-state transmission project with annual transmission charges of Rs 431 crore and also approved plans to raise up to Rs 10,000 crore through an unsecured rupee term loan or line of credit from State Bank of India.

NTPC Green Energy also reported the start of commercial operations of the first 81.34 MW portion of its 650 MW Bikaner project, while Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers approved fundraising of up to Rs 1,500 crore through a further public offer.

Investors will therefore continue to balance company-specific developments against broader macroeconomic risks. The direction of crude prices, foreign investment flows, currency movements and international geopolitical developments are likely to remain important factors for Indian markets in the near term.

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