Iran Has Ability to Shut Strait of Hormuz, Says US Intel Assessment
Strategic waterway under renewed pressure as US-Iran deal unfolds amid uncertainty and shipping disruptions
US, June 17 : A recent US intelligence assessment has warned that Iran has developed the capability to effectively shut or severely disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical oil transit routes, according to sources cited by CNN.
The assessment suggests that following recent regional conflict dynamics, Iran has strengthened its ability to apply pressure on global energy flows through the narrow maritime chokepoint, which handles a significant share of global crude oil shipments.
Sources familiar with the intelligence report claim that Iran’s leverage over the waterway remains intact regardless of a framework agreement expected to be finalized later this week. The findings indicate that Tehran could once again threaten shipping stability in the region, keeping energy markets on edge.
According to the report, Iran has learned to exploit vulnerabilities in regional energy infrastructure and military positioning, including previous strikes on facilities and US-linked assets in neighbouring countries. Intelligence officials reportedly view this capability as a long-term strategic shift that gives Tehran sustained influence over maritime traffic through the Gulf.
One source described the situation as giving Iran “de facto control” over the Strait of Hormuz, calling it a highly potent strategic tool in geopolitical negotiations.
US officials have also acknowledged that Washington has had to engage in intensive diplomatic efforts to ensure continued shipping access through the strait. The uncertainty surrounding the agreement has contributed to reduced maritime traffic, with shipping analysts warning that disruptions could persist for weeks or even months.
US Vice President JD Vance, commenting on the broader Iran framework, reiterated that any agreement would require Iran to keep the Strait of Hormuz open while also preventing nuclear weapon development. He said the deal includes conditions tied to Iran’s compliance, though specific incentives were not detailed publicly.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump indicated that the administration plans to release the full text of the agreement in the coming days, stating that it outlines a commitment that Iran will not obtain nuclear weapons. However, he noted that the document is awaiting formal public disclosure.
At present, details of the agreement remain largely undisclosed, with even lawmakers and several international stakeholders yet to review the full terms, adding further uncertainty to an already sensitive geopolitical situation.
